Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.119751 0.133147 0.147921 0.165512 0.186005 0.209267 0.237873
2024-11-03 0.102153 0.120475 0.142374 0.170845 0.207436 0.253670 0.317817
2024-11-10 0.089743 0.110759 0.137520 0.174905 0.227153 0.299815 0.412843
2024-11-17 0.078401 0.100113 0.129121 0.171998 0.236146 0.332910 0.499588
2024-11-24 0.069386 0.091028 0.121082 0.167616 0.241375 0.360860 0.586910
2024-12-01 0.060849 0.081436 0.110862 0.158061 0.236314 0.370536 0.645135
2024-12-08 0.056234 0.076835 0.107183 0.157728 0.245731 0.406649 0.767261
2024-12-15 0.053400 0.074477 0.106476 0.161851 0.263303 0.461994 0.955164
2024-12-22 0.049105 0.069461 0.101020 0.157127 0.263754 0.483435 1.073334
2024-12-29 0.047393 0.068251 0.101464 0.162612 0.284575 0.553729 1.361696
2025-01-05 0.044522 0.064937 0.098071 0.160639 0.289972 0.590673 1.576953
2025-01-12 0.042453 0.062738 0.096321 0.161451 0.301319 0.645654 1.895599
2025-01-19 0.039617 0.059145 0.091980 0.157009 0.300997 0.672467 2.143040
2025-01-26 0.038452 0.058265 0.092343 0.161969 0.323418 0.771321 2.814293
2025-02-02 0.037204 0.057138 0.092139 0.165744 0.344023 0.874910 3.681088
2025-02-09 0.035230 0.054596 0.089078 0.163036 0.347666 0.925930 4.342956
2025-02-16 0.033263 0.051939 0.085583 0.158954 0.346922 0.962211 4.989646
2025-02-23 0.030884 0.048411 0.080175 0.150045 0.331475 0.939399 5.148256
2025-03-02 0.029695 0.046950 0.078647 0.149734 0.340091 1.013429 6.353249
2025-03-09 0.029052 0.046435 0.078914 0.153579 0.361646 1.152714 8.775423
2025-03-16 0.027586 0.044319 0.075840 0.149173 0.357542 1.178892 9.962587
2025-03-23 0.027182 0.044150 0.076671 0.154289 0.384363 1.367355 14.883142
2025-03-30 0.026133 0.042705 0.074779 0.152450 0.388355 1.445547 18.557271